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Site Climate Analysis
Location Risk Assessment Report
Phoenix Metro Area
Maricopa County, Arizona, USA

Report Generated: December 2024

Analysis Period: 2014-2024

Report ID: PHX-2024-DEMO-001

DEMONSTRATION REPORT This is a sample report showing the structure and type of analysis available through TWOCLICKS Site Climate Analysis. Data shown represents actual historical ranges for the Phoenix metro area from government sources. Production reports will include real-time data and expanded analysis.

Executive Summary

Phoenix, AZ

33.4484 N, 112.0740 W

Maricopa

Phoenix Metro Area presents a high operational cost environment driven primarily by extreme heat exposure. The region experiences 100+ days annually above 100 degrees F, directly impacting cooling infrastructure requirements and energy costs for data centers and industrial facilities.

Key considerations for site development: Water availability is a strategic concern, with ongoing drought conditions affecting long-term resource planning. Wildfire risk exists in surrounding areas but direct urban exposure is moderate. Seismic activity is minimal. Monsoon season (June-September) brings flash flood risk requiring drainage infrastructure planning.

Bottom line: Phoenix is viable for development but requires explicit planning for heat mitigation, water security, and elevated operational costs compared to temperate locations.

Risk Assessment Overview

Extreme Heat

9.2
SEVERE

Drought / Water

7.8
HIGH

Wildfire Exposure

5.4
MODERATE

Flash Flooding

5.1
MODERATE

Severe Storms

4.2
MODERATE

Seismic Activity

1.8
LOW

Primary Risk Factor: Extreme heat is the dominant climate consideration for Phoenix. Facilities must plan for cooling costs 40-60% higher than temperate locations and potential equipment stress during peak summer months.

Extreme Heat Analysis

Phoenix consistently ranks among the hottest major metropolitan areas in the United States. The urban heat island effect amplifies regional temperatures, with nighttime lows often remaining above 90 degrees F during peak summer.

Days Above 100 degrees F (Annual Avg)

107 days
10-year average (2014-2024)

Days Above 110 degrees F (Annual Avg)

21 days
10-year average (2014-2024)

Record High Temperature

122 degrees F
June 26, 1990

Cooling Degree Days (Annual)

4,289 CDD
vs. 1,200 national average

10-Year Temperature Trend

Annual Extreme Heat Days - Phoenix Metro

Chart showing days above 100 degrees F and 110 degrees F by year (2014-2024)

Year Days Above 100 degrees F Days Above 110 degrees F Max Temp Recorded
202411329118 degrees F
202311931119 degrees F
202210118115 degrees F
202110822118 degrees F
202010219117 degrees F
20199815116 degrees F
201810421117 degrees F
201711126119 degrees F
20169917118 degrees F
201510519116 degrees F

Operational Impact: In June 2017 and June 2024, Phoenix Sky Harbor Airport temporarily halted flights when temperatures exceeded aircraft operational limits. Facilities dependent on outdoor equipment or worker exposure must plan for operational constraints during peak heat events.

Implications for Development

  • HVAC/Cooling: Plan for cooling capacity 40-60% above temperate-climate baselines
  • Energy Costs: Summer electricity demand peaks significantly; consider on-site generation or storage
  • Equipment Ratings: Ensure all outdoor equipment rated for 120 degrees F+ operation
  • Worker Safety: OSHA heat illness prevention protocols required May-September
  • Pavement/Surfaces: Specify heat-resistant materials to prevent degradation

Drought and Water Availability

Maricopa County has experienced persistent drought conditions as part of a broader megadrought affecting the American Southwest. Water availability is a critical long-term consideration for any facility with significant water requirements, including data centers using evaporative cooling.

Current Drought Status

D2
Severe Drought (USDM Classification)

Arizona Drought Coverage

73 %
Percent of state in drought

U.S. Drought Monitor Classification

Classification Description Current Status
D0Abnormally Dry-
D1Moderate Drought-
D2Severe DroughtCURRENT
D3Extreme Drought-
D4Exceptional Drought-

5-Year Drought History - Maricopa County

Drought Intensity Over Time

Chart showing weekly drought classification (D0-D4) from 2020-2024

Water Strategy Consideration: Arizona has implemented Tier 1 water shortage declarations affecting Colorado River allocations. Facilities with high water consumption should evaluate closed-loop cooling systems, recycled water sources, or air-cooled alternatives despite higher energy costs.

Water Resource Factors

  • Lake Mead Levels: Currently at approximately 35% capacity, triggering federal shortage declarations
  • Groundwater: Phoenix Active Management Area restricts new groundwater pumping for certain uses
  • Reclaimed Water: Available for industrial cooling; requires separate infrastructure
  • Long-term Outlook: Climate models project continued aridification through 2050

Wildfire Exposure Analysis

While the Phoenix urban core has low direct wildfire ignition risk, the surrounding Sonoran Desert and mountain areas experience regular fire activity. Smoke exposure, evacuation route impacts, and power infrastructure vulnerability are relevant considerations.

Fires Within 50 Miles (2024 YTD)

47 fires
Per NIFC incident data

Acres Burned Within 50mi (2024)

28,400 acres
Year to date

Historical Fire Activity - 50 Mile Radius

Year Fire Count Acres Burned Largest Fire
20244728,400Boulder View Fire (8,200 ac)
20235219,800Diamond Fire (4,500 ac)
20223841,200Pipeline Fire (26,500 ac)*
20216133,100Telegraph Fire (12,400 ac)
20205578,900Bush Fire (36,200 ac)

*Pipeline Fire located in Flagstaff area, within 50mi radius edge

Active Fire Detection Map (Conceptual)

NASA FIRMS Fire Detections - Last 7 Days

Map showing satellite-detected thermal anomalies within 100 miles of Phoenix

Infrastructure Impact: The 2020 Bush Fire caused temporary power transmission concerns for the Phoenix grid. Facilities should evaluate backup power resilience during regional fire events that may affect transmission infrastructure.

Wildfire Considerations

  • Air Quality: Smoke events can trigger unhealthy air quality days; HVAC filtration planning recommended
  • Power Grid: Transmission lines from northern generation cross fire-prone terrain
  • Fire Season: Peak activity April-June (pre-monsoon) and September-November (post-monsoon)
  • Direct Risk: Urban Phoenix has low direct ignition risk; perimeter areas higher

Seismic Activity Assessment

Phoenix is located in a region of low seismic activity. Arizona does not sit on a major fault line, and significant earthquakes are rare. This represents a favorable risk factor compared to California or Pacific Northwest locations.

Earthquakes M2.5+ (Last 10 Years)

23 events
Within 100-mile radius

Maximum Magnitude (10 Years)

4.1 M
Minor earthquake classification

Seismic Events Within 100 Miles (2014-2024)

Date Magnitude Depth Location
2023-08-144.112 km25 mi NW of Fountain Hills
2022-11-023.48 km18 mi E of Mesa
2021-06-193.15 km32 mi N of Scottsdale
2020-04-283.810 km45 mi W of Phoenix
2019-09-032.97 km22 mi S of Tempe

Showing 5 most significant events. Full dataset available in detailed report.

Low Risk Assessment: Seismic activity is not a significant factor for Phoenix site development. Standard construction practices are sufficient; specialized seismic engineering is not required as it would be in California locations.

Severe Weather Analysis

Phoenix experiences a distinct monsoon season from June through September, characterized by sudden, intense thunderstorms that can produce flash flooding, dust storms (haboobs), and damaging winds. Outside monsoon season, severe weather is minimal.

Weather Alerts (2024 YTD)

89 alerts
Maricopa County

Flash Flood Warnings (2024)

34 warnings
Peak: July-August

Alert Distribution by Type (2024)

Alert Type Count Peak Season
Excessive Heat Warning28June-August
Flash Flood Warning34July-August
Severe Thunderstorm Warning19July-August
Dust Storm Warning8June-September

Monsoon Season Considerations

  • Flash Flooding: Desert terrain does not absorb water; drainage planning critical
  • Dust Storms: Haboobs can reduce visibility to zero and deposit debris on equipment
  • Lightning: Arizona has high lightning density during monsoon; surge protection essential
  • Microbursts: Sudden downburst winds can exceed 100 mph in localized areas

Infrastructure Note: Flash flood events in August 2021 caused localized road closures and facility access issues in central Phoenix. Evaluate site drainage and access road elevation for any development in flood-prone areas.

Summary and Recommendations

Site Viability Assessment

Phoenix Metro Area is a viable but high-cost environment for data center and industrial facility development. The region offers low seismic risk, available land, and growing infrastructure - but extreme heat and water scarcity create operational cost premiums that must be factored into financial models.

Key Recommendations

Risk Factor Mitigation Approach Priority
Extreme Heat Over-spec cooling systems; evaluate air-cooled vs evaporative trade-offs; plan for 120F+ equipment ratings CRITICAL
Water Scarcity Evaluate closed-loop cooling; secure reclaimed water contracts; model long-term availability scenarios CRITICAL
Wildfire Smoke Enhanced HVAC filtration; air quality monitoring; worker protection protocols MODERATE
Flash Flooding Site elevation assessment; drainage infrastructure; access road evaluation MODERATE
Power Resilience On-site generation/storage; evaluate grid vulnerability during regional fire events MODERATE
Seismic Standard construction practices sufficient LOW

Comparison Context

Compared to other major data center markets, Phoenix offers lower land costs and seismic risk than California, but higher operational costs than temperate locations like Ashburn, VA or Columbus, OH. The water situation is more constrained than most competing markets.

Financial Modeling Note: When evaluating Phoenix against alternative sites, include a 15-25% premium for cooling-related energy costs and factor water costs as a variable rather than fixed input given ongoing shortage declarations.

Data Sources

  • USGS Earthquake Hazards Program
  • U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM)
  • NOAA National Weather Service
  • NIFC Wildland Fire Statistics
  • NASA FIRMS Active Fire Data
  • NOAA Climate Data Online

Disclaimer

This report provides historical climate and environmental data from government sources for informational purposes only. It is not a substitute for professional engineering assessment, environmental impact studies, insurance underwriting, or regulatory compliance review.

Data represents historical observations and does not constitute a prediction of future conditions. Climate patterns are subject to change. Users should conduct independent due diligence appropriate to their specific use case and risk tolerance.

TWOCLICKS Climate Intelligence makes no warranties regarding the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose of this report.

This demonstration report was generated in December 2024. Production reports include real-time data integration and expanded analysis sections.