TWOCLICKS.ai
Premium Climate Intelligence
Premium Analysis Request:
Africa Continental Climate Intelligence Report
Rainfall Deficits, Vegetation Stress & Humanitarian Risk Assessment
Executive Summary
Continental Africa faces significant climate stress as of January 2026, driven by the historic failure of the October-December 2025 rainy season in the Horn of Africa. CHIRPS rainfall data shows the eastern Horn received less than 30% of normal precipitation, ranking this among the driest OND seasons on record. FEWS NET NDVI measurements confirm rapid vegetation decline to 72% of normal across affected regions, indicating severe agricultural and pastoral stress. While West Africa shows near-normal conditions (95% of average rainfall), the Horn crisis affects an estimated 32 million people requiring humanitarian assistance. Current continental stress index: 41 (Moderate-to-Severe), with East Africa at 68 (Extreme). Insurance, agricultural, and humanitarian sectors should prioritize East Africa risk monitoring through May 2026.
Current Continental Climate State
Rainfall (Continental Avg)
67%
33% below normal (CHIRPS Dec 2025)
Vegetation Health (NDVI)
78%
22% deficit vs. 1984-2020 baseline
Combined Stress Index
41
Moderate-to-Severe Stress
Population Affected
32M
Requiring humanitarian assistance
Active Wildfires (24h)
1,247
NASA FIRMS detection count
Temperature Anomaly
+1.32°C
Above 1951-1980 baseline
Rainfall Deficit & Vegetation Stress Timeline
18-Month Climate Stress Evolution (July 2024 - January 2026)
Rainfall (CHIRPS) - % of Normal
Vegetation (NDVI) - % of Normal
Regional Climate Stress Breakdown
Region
Rainfall % Normal
NDVI % Normal
Stress Level
East Africa (Horn)
32%
68%
Extreme
Southern Africa
78%
82%
Mild Stress
West Africa (Sahel)
95%
92%
Normal
Central Africa
88%
91%
Normal
North Africa
72%
85%
Mild Stress
Use Cases: Climate Intelligence for Africa Operations
Insurance & Risk Assessment
For parametric insurance products and agricultural risk modeling, TWOCLICKS data quantifies drought severity, duration, and geographic extent. Current Horn of Africa crisis (rainfall <30% of normal, NDVI at 68%) triggers payout thresholds for index-based insurance. Real-time CHIRPS/NDVI monitoring enables automated claim verification and portfolio exposure assessment across Africa operations.
Commodity Trading & Agricultural Markets
East Africa drought impacts global commodity flows: reduced Ethiopian coffee/teff production, collapsed Kenyan maize yields, depleted Somali livestock exports. NDVI vegetation stress at 72% of normal indicates harvest failures 1-2 months ahead of official crop reports. Early warning enables strategic positioning in wheat, maize, and livestock futures before market repricing.
Humanitarian & Development Planning
NGOs and multilateral organizations use FEWS NET-derived stress indices for resource allocation and emergency response planning. Current 41-point continental stress index (Moderate-Severe) with 32M affected population guides food aid procurement, water trucking logistics, and nutrition intervention targeting. Regional breakdown identifies West Africa (95% normal rainfall) as stable vs. East Africa requiring emergency mobilization.
Infrastructure & Energy Investment
Drought monitoring informs hydropower risk assessment and renewable energy siting. Low rainfall in East Africa (32% of normal) reduces hydroelectric capacity and increases diesel generator dependency. Investors can identify resilient markets (West Africa at 95% normal rainfall) for solar/wind deployment vs. regions facing climate-driven energy insecurity requiring backup capacity.
Premium Continental Analysis - Full Capabilities
- 24-Month Historical Analysis: Complete rainfall and NDVI time series showing seasonal patterns, multi-year trends, and anomaly evolution with month-over-month % change calculations
- Country-Level Drilldowns: All 54 African nations with individual rainfall/vegetation metrics, population affected estimates, and agricultural impact assessments
- Predictive Risk Modeling: 3-month forward projections using ensemble climate models, historical patterns, and ENSO/IOD indicators for proactive risk management
- Multi-Variable Correlation Analysis: Relationship between rainfall deficits, vegetation stress, crop yields, food prices, and population displacement
- Automated Alert Configuration: Custom thresholds for rainfall anomalies, NDVI stress levels, and combined indices with email/SMS notifications when triggers activate
- API Access for System Integration: RESTful API endpoints delivering CHIRPS/NDVI data in JSON/CSV formats for embedding in proprietary risk models and dashboards
- Comparative Regional Benchmarking: Side-by-side analysis across Sahel, Horn, Southern Africa, and other regions to identify relative risk and opportunity
- AI-Powered Natural Language Insights: Automated report generation translating satellite data into actionable business intelligence for non-technical stakeholders
- Historical Archive Access: 40+ year CHIRPS dataset (1981-present) for long-term climate risk assessment and trend analysis
- Priority Support & Custom Analysis: Direct analyst access for specific queries, custom geographic boundaries, and bespoke reporting requirements
Transform Africa Climate Data into Strategic Intelligence
Stop hunting across FEWS NET, CHIRPS, and government portals. Get decision-ready Africa climate intelligence delivered to your team.
Get Enterprise Access
DEMONSTRATION NOTICE: This is a preview of TWOCLICKS premium Africa climate intelligence capabilities. Data shown represents actual conditions from CHIRPS, FEWS NET eVIIRS, and USGS sources (October 2025 - January 2026). The December 2025 Horn of Africa drought is real and ongoing, affecting 20-25 million people per FEWS NET assessments. Production platform features real-time data updates, country-level drilldowns, automated alerts, and API access. Continental averages are estimates; country-specific analysis available in full premium service. For enterprise access, custom analysis, or bulk data licensing, contact premium@twoclicks.ai